08.03.2021

Epl Betting Tips

Get the latest EPL predictions for the 2020/2021 season with Gamblers Pro. We combine our knowledge with the latest football analytics software to provide you with actionable Premier League betting tips that can help you beat the bookmaker more often.

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English Premier League Predictions this weekend

Take a quick glance through our match result EPL predictions for the upcoming fixtures. Below you can find more details on our exact betting tips for these games.

  • 06-03-2021: Burnley vs Arsenal – AWAY WIN [HT]
  • 06-03-2021: Sheff Utd vs Southampton – SHU [DNB]
  • 06-03-2021: Aston Villa vs Wolves – DRAW
  • 06-03-2021: Brighton vs Leicester – LEI [DNB]
  • 07-03-2021: Liverpool vs Fulham – HOME WIN
  • 07-03-2021: Man City vs Man Utd – DRAW [HT]

Burnley vs Arsenal EPL Predictions

Our free Premier League betting tips are updated for every round of games. Take a look at the latest predictions from our Football Whispers tipsters. Contents1 Football Whispers Premier League betting tips: 19 – 21 February 20211.1 Tip 1: Aston Villa vs Wolves – Under 2.5 Goals1.2 Tip 3: Chelsea vs Everton – BTTS – Continued.

Premier League Betting Tips at OLBG Explained In the first column you can see the overall confidence rating for each EPL tip.This looks at the total win tips on each Premier League match spread across home, away and draw selections. A higher confidence rating than the odds of that team is a good indication of a possible value bet. Premier League Combo Tips Get the best odds for the upcoming fixtures in the English Premier League on popular bet types such as multigoals, bookings, first to score, total corners, clean sheets, Goal range, Draw No Bet and many Combos.

Burnley (win 17%)Draw (24%)Arsenal (win 59%)

Burnley have drawn their last 4 at home although 3 of the teams they’ve faced are in the bottom 6. Arsenal appear to win or lose away, as their 6W – 1D – 6L record shows. The bookies favour the Gunners for this, our first EPL expert predictions this weekend.

Key stats:

  • Only 21% of Burnley’s home games have been +2.5 goals.
  • Burnley have scored in 57% of their home games but conceded in 79%.
  • Arsenal have scored 18 times in 13 away games.
  • The Gunners are 2W and 2L from their last 4 away matches.

Our EPL expert predictions for Burnley vs Arsenal: Arsenal win [Match Result – Half Time] at odds of 2.15. After a good win away against Leicester, we expect the Gunners to continue their winning ways at Turfmoor.

Sheffield United vs Southampton EPL Predictions

Sheff Utd (win 26%)Draw (28%)Southampton (win 46%)

Southampton are solid favourites to win here despite losing 8 of their last 9 games. Sheffield United are still fighting, and they picked up a prized 3 points in their last game against Villa. Could the bookies have this one wrong?

Key stats:

  • Sheff Utd have won 2 of their last 3 home games
  • Southampton has lost their last 4 away.

Our EPL expert predictions for Sheffield United vs Southampton: Sheffield United [Draw No Bet] at odds of 2.55. We cannot ignore this. Saints’ form is appalling, and the Blades are fighting for every possible point.

Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers EPL Predictions

Aston Villa (win 40%)Draw (30%)Wolves (win 30%)

Expert EPL predictions with plenty of value – that’s what we have here. Villa have lost 4 from 8, and possibly their European dream is slipping away. Wolves are up and down. They have only lost 2 in their last 8, but one of those defeats was in their last match (4-1 against Man City).

Key stats:

  • Villa are 2W and 2L from their last 4 home games.
  • Wolves are yet to score in both halves away from home this season.

Our EPL expert predictions for Aston Villa vs Wolves: DRAW [Match Result – Full Time] at odds of 3.05. Villa’s form is shaky and they’ve missed a few key players recently. Wolves are proving hard to beat but in reality, they have little to play for. A draw works for both sides.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leicester City EPL Predictions

Brighton (win 37%)Draw (30%)Leicester (win 33%)

Let’s get this right. Leicester are third in the table, and only 1 point behind 2nd place Man Utd. Brighton are 16th and only 3 points above the drop zone, yet Brighton are the bookies’ favourites.

Key stats:

  • Brighton have only won 1 home game all season (1W – 7D – 5L)
  • Leicester have only lost 1 away game all season (9W – 4D – 1L)

Our EPL expert predictions for Brighton vs Leicester: Leicester [Draw No Bet] at odds of 2.00. Admittedly, the Foxes are wobbling a little, but their away form is outstanding. We’ve put in a little insurance with the DNB market, however. Still, great odds.

Liverpool vs Fulham EPL Predictions

Liverpool (win 66%)Draw (20%)Fulham (win 14%)

It’s absolute madness what has happened to Liverpool’s home form in recent months. Their midweek lose to Chelsea was the 5th straight defeat at Anfield, which is virtually unthinkable. Can Fulham, who need every point they can get their hands on, make it 6?

Key stats:

  • The Reds have scored 1 goal in their last 5 home games.
  • Fulham have drawn 3 and won one from their last 4 away.

Our EPL expert predictions for Liverpool vs Fulham: Liverpool to win by 1 goal [Winning Margin] at odds of 2.95. Not much value in this market if you are looking to back Liverpool.

Manchester City vs Manchester United EPL Predictions

Man City (win 65%)Draw (21%)Man Utd (win 14%)

1st play 2nd, but it’s not exactly a title decider, as City look to have that wrapped up. Still, Manchester bragging rights are on the line, as is Utd’s unbeaten away record.

Key stats:

  • City have won every match they’ve played this calendar year.
  • Utd have 5 draws and 2 wins from their last 7.
  • 3 of Utd’s last 4 away games have finished 0-0. The other finished 1-1.

Our EPL expert predictions for Man City vs Man Utd: Draw [Match Result – Half Time] at odds of 2.15. Gamblers Pro EPL thinks City will win, but Utd can hold firm until half time.

Draw @ 5/4 - match result half timeClick To Tweet

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace EPL Predictions

Spurs (win 64%)Draw (22%)Palace (win 14%)

EPL betting tips coming soon

Key stats:

  • Palace
  • Spurs

Our EPL expert predictions for Spurs vs Crystal Palace: TBC

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Chelsea vs Everton EPL Predictions

Chelsea (win 62%)Draw (23%)Everton (win 15%)

Updating

Key stats:

  • Everton
  • Chelsea

Our EPL expert predictions for Chelsea vs Everton: TBC

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur EPL Predictions

Fulham (win 24%)Draw (27%)Tottenham (win 49%)

Fulham have only lost once in their last 8 games and they are now only 3 points away from pulling themselves out of the relegation zone. Spurs have been floundering of late, but they sparkled at the weekend against Burnley. A factor for this match could hinge on the fitness of Gareth Bale, who scored twice at the weekend.

Key stats:

  • Fulham won their last home game, but they’ve only scored 1 goals in the last 3 home matches.
  • Spurs have lost the last 3 away matches.
  • The reverse fixture earlier in the season finished 1-1.

Our EPL expert predictions for Fulham vs Spurs: Draw [Match Result – First Half] at odds of 2.00. A cautious bet. We advise not to wager until you see the line ups. A spurs side with Bale could be the difference, in our opinion.

Liverpool vs Chelsea EPL Predictions

Liverpool (win 43%)Draw (27%)Chelsea (win 30%)

Liverpool got back in the win column with victory over the Blades on Sunday, while Chelsea stretched their unbeaten run to 7 games with a draw against Man Utd.

Key stats:

  • Liverpool have lost their last 4 home games. In 3 of those matches, they haven’t scored.
  • Chelsea have 2W and 1D from their last 3 away matches.
  • Liverpool have only kept clean sheets in 23% of their games at Anfield.
  • Only 23% of Chelsea’s away games have been +3.5 goals.

Our EPL expert predictions for Liverpool vs Chelsea: DRAW [Match Result – Full Time] at odds of 3.45. Many of the big games this season have ended in a draw – Gamblers Pro EPL expects the same to happen here.

Premier League Table Predictions

For long term EPL predictions, you want to check out the ‘outrights’ or ‘futures’ markets with your chosen betting site. Now is the time to jump on these bets as you usually get better value the further you are from the finish. These are some of the markets you can explore as part of your season-long English Premier League betting tips strategy:

These are the current odds for the most popular EPL outright predictions bets. Man City have jumped back into contention, with Chelsea rapidly drifting out.

  • Outright winner: Man City 1.06, Man Utd 19.00, Liverpool 26.00, Leicester 51.00, Chelsea 101.00
  • Top goalscorer: Mo Salah 2.15, Harry Kane 5.00, Son Heung-Min 9.50, Bruno Fernandes 10.00, Jamie Vardy 12.00,
  • Top 4 finish: Man Utd 1.18, Liverpool 1.25, Chelsea 1.86, Leicester 2.00, Tottenham 4.25, Everton 8.00, Aston Villa 9.00 [Betting closed on Man City finishing in top 4]
  • To be Relegated: West Brom 1.04, Sheff Utd 1.06, Fulham 1.25, Newcastle 4.35, Burnley 6.00, Brighton 23.00

*Prices accurate at time of writing (12th February 2021) – odds quoted from SportPesa.UK

Popular EPL Bets

Online bookmakers offer well over 100 betting markets on EPL matches, so it can get a little confusing which wagers to pick. There are better profits to be made if your Premier League predictions involve ‘how’ a team will win (or a result will happen), rather than simply having a flutter on the match result.

However, you need to factor in the risk vs reward ratio. Of course, the more precise you get with your EPL bets, the higher odds you can expect. The flip side of this is that they will involve a higher level of risk. Added to this, bookmakers set different margins for each market, and this affects both the true betting value and your payout.

Here are some of the top betting markets this season where you can apply the best English Premier League Predictions for this Saturday:

  • 1X2 (Match Result): This is still the most popular football bet. To win, you only need to predict if the full-time result will be a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2). Although, it doesn’t always offer the biggest odds, it often carries the lowest margins and it’s less risky than many other wagers.
  • Draw No Bet: With quite a few EPL matches ending in a draw, the draw no bet (DNB) wager has steadily grown in popularity. This is the same as betting on the match result market, but the bet is void – and you get your stake back – if the game is drawn. It’s a good bet if you fancy the underdog in the betting because if offers some insurance to punters.
  • BTTS: Both teams to score is an excellent wager for neutrals. It doesn’t matter what the final result is, you simply need both of the teams to score. Understandably, the odds are not usually that high given the simplicity of the bet, but it is still an EPL predictions favourite. A variant of this punt is BTTS in Both Halves. This pays out a lot more, but of course, it’s harder to win.
  • First goalscorer: The value of this bet depends on the player you choose. For instance, there isn’t much value in picking Kane, Aguero or Salah. Instead, it’s a good punt for games like Aston Villa vs Brighton, where the first goalscorer could be one of several players.
  • O/U Total Goals: Another simple bet that doesn’t require the punter to pick a winner. Also, you don’t need both teams to score. Bookmakers will offer several of these markets, starting from over/under 0.5 goals, over-under 1.5 goals up to over/under 6.5 goals. The most common is O/U 2.5 goals. If you bet ‘over’ 2.5, you win if the match finishes with 3, 4, 5 or more goals (extra time and penalty shootouts not included).

How much to bet on these EPL Predictions

The vast majority of recreational punters use the same stake value for every one of our expert EPL betting tips. However, we don’t recommend this betting system if you’re serious about making good profits from betting on the Premier League.

You need to have a bankroll management system and then bet in accordance with the perceived risk of the EPL predictions you are wagering on. One of the most successful strategies is the Kelly Criterion – also known as the Kelly Bet. This how it works:

Epl Betting Tips Tomorrow

The Kelly Bet formula

  • f = The recommended percentage of your bankroll to bet
  • b = The bookmaker’s odds (in decimal) minus 1
  • p = Your perceived probability of winning using our EPL predictions
  • q = The probability of losing (1 – p)

Armed with this formula, you can now start to put values to the letters. Let’s take the Premier League betting tips from the Leeds vs Fulham match. We chose Leeds to win [1X2 Full-Time] at odds of 1.60. This fills in the ‘b’.

  • b = 1.60 – 1 = 0.60

Now comes the most important part, and ultimately this will depend on whether the strategy is successful or not. You need to assess the probability of your EPL predictions being right. The bookies have Leeds at 59% for the win, we think it’s slightly higher, so we are saying 65%; therefore:

  • p = 0.65 (this is 65% in decimal)
  • q = 0.35

With all the values in place, we can now calculate the formula:

(0.60 x 0.65 – 0.35) / 0.60 = f (0.0666*) x 100 = 6.66%

Using the Kelly formula, it is recommended to bet 6.66% of our bankroll on this EPL prediction.

Free-to-Enter Football Jackpot Games

We bookies eager to secure (and keep) your custom, there are several free-to- enter football jackpot games that run throughout the season. These can be exclusive to Premier League football or they may involve matches from other leagues as well. We’ve hand-picked the best games for you to check out.

Best Free EPL Tips & Predictions FAQ

Epl Betting Tips Today

Can I cashout my EPL bets?

Yes, most online bookmakers have the cashout feature on their platforms (because they make better profits from it). Regardless of that, this is still a great tool to use, particularly on accumulator bets in which 5 out of 6 selections have won, and you’re getting nervous on the final match.

Can I bet in-play on the Premier League?

Absolutely, yes! In-play (live) betting is very popular for Premier League football. It can be a riskier betting strategy, but the rewards are there if you pick the right bets. One thing we would say about in-play betting is the bookmaker’s margins tend to be higher (so you get less value). This is something to quickly check before getting your money in the game.

So what does it mean to “cover” the spread? The spread is the difference in points between the two teams when the game is over. It’s what oddsmakers come up with to determine the winner and margin of victory of a game. For example: the Lakers are the favorite over the Spurs by 5 points. What does it mean to cover the point spread. Now we can define what “ Cover The Spread ” means, which is when the favorite wins the event by more than the point total given by the lines makers. If the opposite happens the underdog wins with the additional points given. When a spread is created it goes beyond classifying a team as either a. “Cover the spread” means that a favourite wins an event with the handicap taken into account or the underdog wins with additional points. The spread goes beyond classifying a team as the favourite or the underdog and assigns a numerical value to the perceived difference between teams.

Is it worth paying for EPL betting tips?

In our opinion, no it isn’t. This is not to say that there aren’t some good tipsters out there, but the league at the moment is in a strange bubble. No EPL tips expert could call Leicester beating Man City 5 – 2, Spurs 6 – 1 Man Utd, and Aston Villa 7 – 2 against Liverpool.

Of course, to avoid this, the majority of paid tipsters play it safe with bets that payout less than evens, such as over 2.5 goals. Our EPL predictions look for more value. The win ratio may not be as high, but the profits over the season are likely to be better.

How do I win on football betting every time?

Gamblers Pro is not in the business of misleading punters; so we won’t sugar coat this. It’s virtually impossible to win on football betting every time you have a punt. Even selections that are 1/100 (1.01) can lose. However, you can improve your success rate by putting in the research, and only bet when there’s value in the markets.

Also, use a money management system alongside our expert EPL predictions so that you know how much of your bankroll to stake on each bet.

Can I use these EPL predictions in Nigeria?

Yes, you sure can. All major sportsbooks offer English Premier League betting, so you can apply these predictions as you choose. If you’re looking for a licensed and regulated betting site in Nigeria, please read our Bet9ja review to see if it meets your requirements.

Can I use these EPL predictions as part of an accumulator (ACCA) bet?

Epl Betting Tips And Predictions

Who will win the 2020/21 English Premier League?

When is the best time to place my bets?

Disclaimer: Our EPL expert predictions are made for entertainment only. We do not take any responsibility for any financial loss incurred as a result of real money wagers placed on these EPL predictions.

Epl Betting Tips And Predictions

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